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Stanford Digital Economy Lab

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The lab's own working papers, among them “Canaries in the Coal Mine” on the employment effects of AI. Primary for the figures the press quotes: the paper states which measure each number belongs to, and outlets routinely compare two different ones.

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The 19 percent everyone is quoting does not mean what the headlines say

Stanford's August 2026 update finds young workers in AI-exposed jobs 19 percent below where they would be had hiring kept pace. The comparison to last year's 13 percent is between two different measures — like for like, it is 15 to 19.

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